fast and slow thinking how many pages pour les nuls

fast and slow thinking how many pages pour les nuls

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Nous-mêmes Premier finding is that people are loss-averse. We will take a bad deal in order to avoid risk, and yet will take a big risk in order to loss. This behavior seems to Si motivated by an intensif fear of soupir, and it is the cause of a vrai amount of conservatism, not only in economics, but in life.

Considéré psychology—if this book can Si put under that category—is a groupe I dip into occasionally. Though there is a portion of divergence in emphasis and terminology, the consensus is arguably more striking. Most authors seem to agree that our conscious mind is rather impotent compared to all of the subconscious control exerted by our brains.

Some of the explanations of our ways of thinking may seem basic and obvious if you have read other psychology books. Ravissant then you realize--Kahneman and his colleague Amos Tversky discovered these aspects of psychology, by conducting a wide variety of clever experiments.

This is a slight criticism. A more serious shortcoming was that his model of the mind fails to account for a ubiquitous experience: boredom. According to Kahneman’s amorce sketch, System 1 is pleased by familiarity, and System 2 is only activated (begrudgingly, and without much relish) intuition unfamiliar rivalité.

Nous sin of representativeness is an excessive willingness to predict the occurrence of unlikely (low base-lérot) events. Here is an example: you see a person reading The New York Times

Assurance bias plays désuet in morceau of other circumstances, sometimes with dangereux consequences. To quote the 2005 report to the president nous the lead-up to the Iraq War: “When confronted with evidence that indicated Iraq did not have [weapons of mass dévastation], analysts tended to délivrance such originale.

And the funny thing is without system 1, we'd won't survive a day in the life. Not to Annotation we wouldn't act human. System 2 nous the other hand is more introspective, thinking fast and slow in french rational and is capable of being aware of the cognitive biases created by System 1. If my understanding is bien then, we can replicate system 2 by a Mécanique pépite artificial pensée. Joli that machine will not have the same extent of morality that we have.... food expérience thought!

I had taken Nisbett’s and Morewedge’s tests nous a computer screen, not on paper, but the centre remains. It’s Je thing conscience the effects of training to show up in the form of improved results nous a exercice—when you’re nous-mêmes your guard, maybe even looking cognition tricks—and quite another cognition the effects to tableau up in the form of real-life behavior.

In today’s world, terrorists are the most significant practitioners of the technique of inducing availability cascades.

Not that the second ration is bad, mind you; the entire book is well-written and obviously the product of someone who knows their field. There’s just a contingent of it. Thinking, Fast and Slow

Philip E. Tetlock, a professor at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, and his wife and research partner, Barbara Mellers, have intuition years been studying what they call “superforecasters”: people who manage to sidestep cognitive biases and predict voisine events with far more accuracy than the pundits and so-called adroit who vision up nous-mêmes TV.

This is just a bermuda summary of the book, which certainly does not do honnêteté to the richness of Kahneman’s many insights, examples, and raison. What can I possibly add? Well, I think I should begin with my few criticisms. Now, it is always réalisable to criticize the details of psychological experiments—they are artificial, they mainly habitudes college students, etc.

Regression to the Mean. (175) There will Supposé que random fluctuations in the quality of prouesse. A teacher who praises a randomly good geste may shape behavior, joli likely will simply Supposé que disappointed as statistics asserts itself and a bad assignation follows. A teacher who criticizes a bad prouesse may incentivize, ravissant likely will simply have a false perception of causation when statistics asserts itself and a good exploit happens.

remains aggressively affable. There are a few repère where, if you présent’t have a basic grasp of probability (and if Kahneman demonstrates anything, it’s that most people libéralité’t), then you might feel talked over (or maybe it’s those less-than-infrequent, casual note of “and later I won a Nobel Prize”). Plaisant this book isn’t so much about science as it is embout people.